Goal Superiority System

This system compares goals scored against goals conceded by each team in their recent matches (current season only)
  • A positive goal superiority figure means that the home team's recent goal difference is superior to the away team's
  • A negative figure indicates that the away team's recent goal difference is superior
Each goal superiority figure has been tested against 10 years of data to come up with a probability for the match result. This probability has been converted into 'Fair Odds' for comparison against what the bookies are offering
Date/KO Form /
 Fixture (goal difference) Fair Odds Best Odds Value Factor Bookie
stats DWLDLW Liverpool (0) 2.53 2.15 WillHill
2/6/2012  20:00 Draw 3.62 3.48   Pinnacle
  DWWDLW Tottenham (4) 3.04 3.88 9.55% Pinnacle

N.B. The odds were last updated on Sunday, February 05, 2012 at 6:37:11 PM.
Exchange odds are shown net of standard commission (5%)